Bush's Landslide: Or, How Kerry Won Ohio
In 2000 Bush received 329,708 votes in West Virginia. Gore received 291,088.
In 2004 there were 118,996 more voters in W. Virginia than in 2000.
Of those new voters 88,443 voted for Bush and 30,553 went for Kerry; Which is a net gain of 57,890 for Bush in 2004.
We applied the same formula to all 50 states, and declared a winner of each state's electoral votes based on who won the difference in 2004 over 2000.
Kerry had a built-in advantage in that there was a substantial shift away from Ralph Nader during the last four years that favored him. Nevertheless, Bush devastated Kerry inside these margins.
When the new data is applied to the electoral college, this is what it looks like:
Kerry won 11 states, the District of Columbia, and lost fewer Gore voters in Washington State than Bush lost from 2000.
UPDATED WITH PCT COLUMN
Bush won 37 states, and lost fewer of his California voters than Kerry lost of Gore's California voters from 2000.
The 2000 election data was taken from CNN, and the 2004 election data was taken from Yahoo. We're not sure if Washington State and California actually lost voters from 2000, or if that data just hasn't been updated at Yahoo.
Some more interesting thoughts on the 2004 election results from ACK!.
In 2004 there were 118,996 more voters in W. Virginia than in 2000.
Of those new voters 88,443 voted for Bush and 30,553 went for Kerry; Which is a net gain of 57,890 for Bush in 2004.
We applied the same formula to all 50 states, and declared a winner of each state's electoral votes based on who won the difference in 2004 over 2000.
Kerry had a built-in advantage in that there was a substantial shift away from Ralph Nader during the last four years that favored him. Nevertheless, Bush devastated Kerry inside these margins.
When the new data is applied to the electoral college, this is what it looks like:
Kerry won 11 states, the District of Columbia, and lost fewer Gore voters in Washington State than Bush lost from 2000.
UPDATED WITH PCT COLUMN
Bush won 37 states, and lost fewer of his California voters than Kerry lost of Gore's California voters from 2000.
The 2000 election data was taken from CNN, and the 2004 election data was taken from Yahoo. We're not sure if Washington State and California actually lost voters from 2000, or if that data just hasn't been updated at Yahoo.
Some more interesting thoughts on the 2004 election results from ACK!.
